Rookie Fagnano starts for Ravens

Joe Fagnano will take the field for the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday night. The rookie third-stringer starts at M&T Bank Stadium because the team has lost its top two quarterbacks to injury. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET.

Lamar Jackson is out with a thumb injury. Backup Tyler Huntley is sidelined by a toe injury. Fagnano faces the Jacksonville Jaguars, a team that has won four of its last five games. The Jaguars enter the contest with a 5-2 record. Baltimore sits at 4-4 after losing 36-10 to Buffalo on Sunday.

Bookmakers list the Jaguars as a 10-point favorite. The total points line is set at 40. SportsLine’s model projects 48 combined points. The model simulates each game 10,000 times. It finds the over hitting in 60 percent of those simulations.

Trevor Lawrence has completed 65.7 percent of his passes this season. He has thrown for 1,690 yards with 17 touchdowns and four interceptions. Bhayshul Tuten leads the ground game with 492 yards and three touchdowns on 110 carries.

The Ravens rely heavily on Derrick Henry. The veteran running back has 632 yards and eight touchdowns on 158 carries over eight games. His workload may increase as the offense adjusts to a new starter.

The over has hit in three of the last four meetings between these teams. It has hit in Jacksonville’s last two games. It has also hit in six of Baltimore’s last 10. The model identifies one side of the 10-point spread as the stronger value play for Thursday’s contest.